The bottomline is, if you win carnival games, you lose. Even if you win on the first attempt, the cost of getting the toy is much lesser than the price you paid to play the game.
You could just buy it off Amazon if the toy is what you’re interested in. But nobody really plays carnival games for just the reward, right? It’s the thrill of winning, especially when you know the odds are stack against you.
But most people overestimate what they could do and underestimate that for some games, the odds are heavily stacked against them to the extend it’s almost impossible to win.